Porto vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
7.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
FCP
4 - 0
JUV
96%
3%
1%
|
89 | 38 | 51 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2010 |
FCP
1 - 0
VST
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2010 |
RAP
1 - 3
FCP
33%
25%
42%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
SCP
1 - 1
FCP
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
MOR
0 - 1
FCP
15%
23%
62%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
MAL
0 - 3
CSK
13%
20%
67%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2010 |
CSK
1 - 2
BJK
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
AKA
1 - 1
CSK
19%
26%
55%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
SLI
1 - 3
CSK
23%
24%
53%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
CSK
1 - 0
LPL
51%
25%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |