Porto vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
33.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
FCP
3 - 0
SLB
47%
23%
30%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
VIZ
0 - 4
FCP
13%
20%
68%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
FCP
1 - 0
RIO
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
FCP
1 - 0
SPB
59%
21%
20%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
FCP
1 - 3
ATM
37%
25%
39%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
FCP
3 - 0
SLB
47%
23%
30%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
SLB
7 - 1
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
SLB
3 - 0
SPC
87%
10%
3%
|
89 | 57 | 32 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
FAM
1 - 4
SLB
13%
19%
69%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 0
DYN
55%
22%
23%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |