Porto vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
FCP
1 - 1
INT
34%
27%
39%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCP
22%
27%
52%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
FCP
0 - 0
VIT
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
EST
1 - 2
FCP
17%
26%
57%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
FCP
1 - 3
SPB
71%
19%
11%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2005 |
SLB
1 - 1
CSK
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2005 |
SLB
2 - 1
VIT
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2005 |
CSK
2 - 0
SLB
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
SPB
0 - 0
SLB
27%
25%
48%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
SLB
3 - 0
ACA
75%
17%
8%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |