Porto vs Benfica analysis

Porto Benfica
88 ELO 87
-0.4% Tilt -2.3%
113º General ELO ranking 108º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
54%
Porto
23.4%
Draw
22.6%
Benfica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
Porto
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.7%
Win probability
Benfica
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Porto
Benfica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Porto
Porto
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2004
FCP
Porto
3 - 1
Paços de Ferreira
PAÇ
78%
15%
7%
88 67 21 0
04 May. 2004
DEP
RC Deportivo
0 - 1
Porto
FCP
64%
21%
15%
88 92 4 0
30 Apr. 2004
RIO
Rio Ave
1 - 0
Porto
FCP
20%
25%
55%
88 73 15 0
25 Apr. 2004
FCP
Porto
1 - 0
FC Alverca
ALV
78%
15%
7%
88 65 23 0
21 Apr. 2004
FCP
Porto
0 - 0
RC Deportivo
DEP
39%
26%
36%
88 92 4 0

Matches

Benfica
Benfica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2004
SLB
Benfica
0 - 0
União de Leiria
UDL
68%
19%
13%
87 77 10 0
02 May. 2004
SCP
Sporting CP
0 - 1
Benfica
SLB
39%
26%
35%
86 86 0 +1
24 Apr. 2004
SLB
Benfica
3 - 1
CF Estrela Amadora
EST
84%
12%
4%
86 59 27 0
17 Apr. 2004
SPB
Sporting Braga
0 - 3
Benfica
SLB
23%
24%
53%
86 74 12 0
10 Apr. 2004
SLB
Benfica
2 - 1
Paços de Ferreira
PAÇ
74%
18%
8%
86 67 19 0