Porto vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1995 |
PAN
0 - 0
FCP
44%
27%
29%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
FAR
0 - 2
FCP
26%
28%
46%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
FCP
5 - 0
CAM
77%
15%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1995 |
FCP
0 - 1
PAN
62%
22%
16%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
SPB
0 - 3
FCP
29%
28%
44%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1995 |
RJC
2 - 2
SLB
34%
28%
39%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
SLB
4 - 1
LEC
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
CHA
1 - 2
SLB
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1995 |
SLB
1 - 0
RJC
64%
21%
15%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
SLB
3 - 0
GFC
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |