Porto vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
SPB
0 - 1
FCP
36%
25%
39%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
FCP
3 - 0
SCP
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
BOA
0 - 2
FCP
10%
19%
71%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCP
31%
25%
44%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
FCP
1 - 0
VIT
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 0
THU
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
MUN
1 - 6
BAS
5%
12%
83%
|
84 | 40 | 44 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCV
69%
20%
12%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
YOB
4 - 2
BAS
40%
24%
37%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCP
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |