Porto vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
54.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCP
47%
24%
29%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FCP
2 - 1
GFC
78%
15%
7%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 3
FCP
33%
25%
43%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
ESA
0 - 1
FCP
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FCP
1 - 1
ARO
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
FCB
1 - 0
SEV
70%
18%
12%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
MLL
2 - 2
FCB
10%
19%
71%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FCB
3 - 2
CEL
78%
15%
8%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
FCB
5 - 0
ANT
77%
15%
8%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCB
5 - 0
BET
65%
20%
15%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | +1 |