Porto vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
FCP
1 - 0
CHA
86%
11%
4%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1998 |
VST
1 - 2
FCP
16%
21%
63%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1998 |
OLP
2 - 1
FCP
36%
25%
39%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
FCP
3 - 1
SLB
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1998 |
CAM
0 - 2
FCP
13%
18%
69%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
AJA
1 - 1
MVV
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
VIT
3 - 2
AJA
37%
25%
38%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1998 |
AJA
0 - 1
DZG
69%
18%
13%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
RKC
0 - 1
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
AJA
2 - 2
PSV
53%
21%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |