Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
FCP
2 - 1
APO
61%
24%
16%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
FCP
4 - 0
SER
93%
6%
1%
|
89 | 45 | 44 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
OLH
0 - 3
FCP
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
FCP
2 - 0
ATM
39%
27%
34%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 0
SCP
44%
27%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ACA
2 - 1
POR
57%
25%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
ACA
0 - 0
BMA
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
ACA
2 - 4
MAR
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
RIO
0 - 0
ACA
44%
28%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 1
BEL
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |