Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
FEN
1 - 2
FCP
49%
24%
27%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
FCP
2 - 0
VIT
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
SCP
1 - 1
FCP
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2008 |
DYN
1 - 2
FCP
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
NAV
1 - 0
FCP
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
16%
24%
60%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 0
ACA
54%
26%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
ACA
0 - 1
EST
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
ACA
1 - 1
SPB
32%
30%
39%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
GON
0 - 2
ACA
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |