Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
FCP
1 - 0
S04
48%
26%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
BOA
0 - 0
FCP
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
FCP
1 - 0
GFC
76%
17%
7%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
FCP
3 - 0
PAÇ
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2008 |
S04
1 - 0
FCP
40%
28%
32%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
LEX
2 - 2
ACA
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2008 |
ACA
1 - 1
BOA
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
ACA
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
ACA
1 - 0
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
UDL
3 - 1
ACA
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |