Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
14.3%
3-0
15.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.6%
2.4%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1999 |
CHA
0 - 4
FCP
13%
20%
67%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
FCP
6 - 0
VST
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
SLB
1 - 1
FCP
42%
24%
33%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
FCP
2 - 0
CAM
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
FCP
1 - 0
SPB
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1999 |
ACA
1 - 1
SPB
27%
28%
46%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
SAL
1 - 1
ACA
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
ACA
0 - 1
UDL
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1999 |
BOA
3 - 1
ACA
82%
13%
5%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
ACA
0 - 5
ALV
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |