Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
FAB
0 - 1
FCP
33%
26%
40%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
FCP
2 - 1
VIT
62%
22%
17%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
SCP
2 - 1
FCP
44%
27%
29%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
FCP
4 - 1
ATL
85%
11%
3%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
VAR
1 - 1
FCP
24%
27%
49%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
ACA
4 - 0
UFT
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
ACA
1 - 1
FAB
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
VIT
2 - 1
ACA
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
ACA
1 - 0
SCP
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
ATL
0 - 4
ACA
22%
26%
53%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |