FC Porto (Macao) vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
30.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Porto (Macao)
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 1
FCP
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
FCP
0 - 3
BEN
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
FCP
2 - 3
PSP
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
FCP
2 - 2
MAC
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
FCP
5 - 2
WAK
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
KTM
0 - 3
MCA
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MCA
3 - 0
MAC
59%
20%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
MCA
1 - 2
MAC
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
MCA
3 - 2
WAK
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
MCA
5 - 1
GLP
54%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |