Porto SC vs Fluminense SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
57.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
TUB
6 - 0
POR
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
CAM
3 - 1
POR
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 56 | 39 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
POR
2 - 1
MET
9%
18%
73%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | +3 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
BLU
6 - 0
POR
65%
18%
17%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
POR
1 - 4
CRA
16%
19%
66%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
FFC
1 - 1
BLU
28%
22%
50%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
FFC
0 - 2
CAM
10%
21%
69%
|
26 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
MET
1 - 0
FFC
59%
22%
19%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
FFC
3 - 1
TUB
22%
24%
54%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +3 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
NES
0 - 0
FFC
63%
20%
18%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |