Porto SC vs Fluminense SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
TUB
6 - 0
POR
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
CAM
3 - 1
POR
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 56 | 39 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
POR
2 - 1
MET
9%
18%
73%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | +3 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
BLU
6 - 0
POR
65%
18%
17%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
POR
1 - 4
CRA
16%
19%
66%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
FFC
1 - 1
BLU
28%
22%
50%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
FFC
0 - 2
CAM
10%
21%
69%
|
26 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
MET
1 - 0
FFC
59%
22%
19%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
FFC
3 - 1
TUB
22%
24%
54%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +3 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
NES
0 - 0
FFC
63%
20%
18%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |