Porto SC vs Caxias Joinville FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
68.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
JAC
1 - 1
POR
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
POR
1 - 2
HER
25%
23%
53%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
XVO
0 - 2
POR
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
POR
4 - 1
HER
13%
20%
66%
|
25 | 59 | 34 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
CAM
5 - 0
POR
76%
15%
8%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
CAX
0 - 0
CAM
78%
15%
8%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
JAC
2 - 5
CAX
12%
19%
69%
|
69 | 19 | 50 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
CAX
1 - 1
TUB
82%
12%
5%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
HER
3 - 0
CAX
11%
18%
70%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
CAX
0 - 1
GUA
78%
14%
8%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |