Phönix Lübeck vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
3º
14º
5º
54
1º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
63% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 46 |
10º
|
63% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Phönix Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 1
BRE
63%
20%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DRO
2 - 1
FCP
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 1
WEI
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
HOL
1 - 2
FCP
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 1
BSV
52%
23%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
LUB
1 - 4
OTT
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
EIN
1 - 2
LUB
29%
24%
47%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LUB
2 - 2
HAV
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MEP
3 - 0
LUB
63%
21%
17%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
JED
3 - 2
LUB
27%
24%
49%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |