Phönix Lübeck vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Phönix Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1973 |
HEI
5 - 0
FCP
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1973 |
FCP
2 - 1
ITZ
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1973 |
EBT
9 - 1
FCP
68%
21%
11%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
VFB
6 - 1
FCP
43%
25%
31%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
FCP
3 - 2
HEI
65%
21%
15%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1973 |
HOL
2 - 3
STP
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1973 |
WOL
3 - 3
HOL
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1973 |
HOL
1 - 4
VFB
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
HOL
3 - 0
OWI
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
TBR
1 - 0
HOL
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |