Phönix Lübeck vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
76.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Phönix Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCP
3 - 1
VFB
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BWL
2 - 0
FCP
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -2 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
VOW
0 - 4
FCP
15%
19%
66%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 1
FCP
39%
24%
37%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCP
3 - 4
BRE
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BVB
2 - 0
ASV
69%
18%
13%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
BVB
2 - 2
VIL
69%
17%
14%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
CER
2 - 3
BVB
6%
14%
80%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BAN
4 - 0
BVB
5%
12%
84%
|
95 | 63 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
ERZ
1 - 1
BVB
5%
12%
83%
|
95 | 70 | 25 | 0 |