Passau vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
55.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Passau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
JRE
3 - 1
FCP
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 0
TSV
39%
25%
36%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
UNT
0 - 2
FCP
67%
20%
13%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 2
BAD
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2004 |
BAY
2 - 0
FCP
76%
16%
8%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
ING
1 - 0
ANS
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
WEI
0 - 2
ING
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
ING
1 - 2
MEM
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
ISM
1 - 4
ING
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2004 |
ING
1 - 0
NUR
49%
23%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |