Passau vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
61.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Passau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
WUR
1 - 0
FCP
79%
13%
7%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
FCP
2 - 1
ANS
28%
24%
48%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
FEU
3 - 0
FCP
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
FCP
0 - 2
MEM
13%
20%
67%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2000 |
SSV
9 - 1
FCP
82%
13%
6%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
BAY
5 - 1
BAY
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
SCS
3 - 0
BAY
30%
25%
46%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -3 |
| 23 May. 2003 |
BAY
1 - 2
NUR
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2003 |
WEI
0 - 2
BAY
31%
26%
44%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
BAY
3 - 1
GRE
58%
21%
22%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |