Parfin vs AS Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parfin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
JEA
5 - 1
FCP
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
FCP
0 - 9
PIE
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
FCP
1 - 1
PIE
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 0
FCP
24%
21%
54%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
JEA
1 - 1
FCP
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
DRA
5 - 1
EXC
76%
14%
10%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
EXC
4 - 0
LOU
49%
22%
29%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SAR
0 - 3
EXC
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 1
MAT
81%
11%
8%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
PUN
3 - 0
EXC
38%
22%
41%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |