FC Paradiso vs Linth 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
3º
1º
50
5º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
89% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 53 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
53% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Paradiso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
LUG
0 - 1
FCP
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
FCP
1 - 1
FCW
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 0
FCP
17%
22%
61%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
HON
0 - 4
FCP
19%
24%
56%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCP
5 - 0
FCG
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Linth 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 1
FCG
64%
18%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
UZW
3 - 4
LIN
22%
20%
58%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 1
KRE
42%
23%
35%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FCW
1 - 1
LIN
15%
17%
68%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 5
TUG
31%
24%
46%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |