FC Paradiso vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
0.6%
2-1
0.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
1.8%
5.3%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
5.3%
92%
Win probability
4.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
6.7%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
18.5%
0-4
9.9%
1-5
5.5%
2-6
1.3%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
16.9%
0-5
8.2%
1-6
3.8%
2-7
0.8%
3-8
0.1%
-5
12.8%
0-6
5.6%
1-7
2.2%
2-8
0.4%
3-9
0%
-6
8.3%
0-7
3.3%
1-8
1.2%
2-9
0.2%
3-10
0%
-7
4.7%
0-8
1.7%
1-9
0.5%
2-10
0.1%
-8
2.3%
0-9
0.8%
1-10
0.2%
-9
1%
0-10
0.3%
-10
0.3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Paradiso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
STG
0 - 1
FCP
30%
24%
46%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
FCP
2 - 1
FRE
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
LUG
2 - 3
FCP
22%
21%
58%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FCW
4 - 0
FCP
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
FCP
3 - 1
YFJ
25%
21%
54%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
YVE
1 - 1
FCA
29%
23%
48%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
FCA
1 - 3
FCV
46%
24%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FCA
5 - 2
STA
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
FCS
0 - 7
FCA
2%
4%
94%
|
66 | 10 | 56 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
NEX
4 - 2
FCA
25%
23%
53%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |