Switzerland Fourth Division Final
Global 2-3
FC Paradiso vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Paradiso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
BAD
3 - 1
FCP
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FCP
2 - 0
VEV
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
VEV
3 - 2
FCP
38%
26%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
BAD
0 - 0
FCP
53%
23%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
FCP
1 - 4
FCG
80%
15%
6%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
BAD
3 - 1
FCP
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
BAD
2 - 0
GRA
52%
21%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 1
BAD
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
BAD
0 - 0
FCP
53%
23%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
FCW
0 - 1
BAD
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |