TOP Oss vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
61.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOP Oss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
FCD
1 - 0
FCO
34%
26%
41%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
FCO
1 - 2
RJC
25%
25%
51%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
TEL
2 - 2
FCO
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
FCO
4 - 1
JUT
52%
24%
25%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
FCO
1 - 2
EIN
33%
27%
41%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
VOL
2 - 5
EXC
55%
22%
23%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
EXC
4 - 0
BOS
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 0
RJC
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
JUT
0 - 1
EXC
15%
20%
64%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
EXC
6 - 2
JON
34%
24%
42%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |