TOP Oss vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
50.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOP Oss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
FCO
1 - 4
TEL
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
GAE
1 - 0
FCO
63%
23%
15%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
FCO
1 - 0
JON
16%
20%
64%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
NEC
0 - 1
FCO
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
JUT
0 - 1
FCO
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
MVV
2 - 2
EXC
17%
19%
64%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
EXC
1 - 0
EIN
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
NEC
3 - 2
EXC
52%
24%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 3
NAC
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
EXC
0 - 1
BVO
25%
23%
53%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |