TOP Oss vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
46%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOP Oss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
MVV
1 - 2
FCO
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
FCO
2 - 3
HEL
13%
20%
67%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
GRA
6 - 1
FCO
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
FCO
1 - 2
VVV
30%
26%
45%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
VOL
3 - 1
FCO
80%
13%
7%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 0
JON
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 0
GAE
25%
23%
52%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
EIN
1 - 3
EXC
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
BOS
3 - 2
EXC
50%
25%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 1
ALM
54%
23%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |