TOP Oss vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
44.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOP Oss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 0
FCO
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
FCO
4 - 5
BVO
23%
23%
54%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
HEL
3 - 1
FCO
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
FCO
1 - 3
FCE
52%
23%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
RBC
0 - 3
FCO
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2009 |
EXC
2 - 1
GRA
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
EXC
0 - 1
APE
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
BVO
1 - 2
EXC
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 0
FOR
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
NEC
2 - 1
EXC
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |