TOP Oss vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
59.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOP Oss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
FCO
1 - 2
HER
43%
26%
32%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
FCO
0 - 2
BOS
21%
24%
55%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
FCO
0 - 3
ADO
47%
24%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
FCO
1 - 0
MVV
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
FCD
1 - 2
FCO
62%
21%
18%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
BOS
4 - 0
EXC
49%
24%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2001 |
EXC
2 - 2
ADO
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
MVV
0 - 2
EXC
26%
24%
50%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2001 |
EXC
4 - 2
TEL
73%
16%
11%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2001 |
EXC
1 - 3
AZA
47%
22%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |