TOP Oss vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
42.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOP Oss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
HEL
0 - 0
FCO
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1999 |
FCO
2 - 1
HFC
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
VOL
2 - 0
FCO
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
FCO
0 - 1
GRO
26%
26%
47%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
GAE
2 - 2
FCO
69%
18%
12%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1999 |
EXC
3 - 0
VVV
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
ADO
2 - 1
EXC
49%
24%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1999 |
EXC
3 - 2
FOR
32%
24%
44%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1999 |
EXC
2 - 2
BVV
59%
22%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
ZWO
4 - 2
EXC
68%
18%
14%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |