TOP Oss vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOP Oss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1997 |
EIN
1 - 0
FCO
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1997 |
FCO
0 - 3
BVV
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1997 |
ADO
1 - 1
FCO
66%
20%
15%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1997 |
FCO
1 - 2
EIN
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1997 |
EXC
2 - 3
FCO
48%
25%
26%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1997 |
ADO
4 - 1
EXC
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1997 |
HFC
2 - 1
EXC
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1997 |
EXC
1 - 4
HER
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1997 |
HEL
3 - 3
EXC
59%
20%
20%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1997 |
EXC
2 - 3
FCO
48%
25%
26%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |