FC Ordino vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.5%
40%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
5º
8º
7º
27
5º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
73% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 21 |
7º
|
73% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
27% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
73% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Ordino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ATL
6 - 1
FCO
72%
18%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SJU
3 - 2
FCO
41%
25%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FCO
1 - 2
UEE
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
INT
0 - 1
FCO
75%
16%
8%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
FCO
1 - 4
SCO
16%
23%
62%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 1
SJU
48%
22%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
UEE
1 - 0
PEN
32%
22%
46%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 2
INT
16%
22%
62%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SCO
3 - 2
PEN
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 1
UES
26%
24%
50%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |