FC Ordino vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
41.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
5º
8º
7º
27
5º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
73% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 21 |
7º
|
73% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
27% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
73% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Ordino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 1
FCO
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SCO
1 - 0
FCO
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
FCO
0 - 3
INT
16%
23%
61%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
FCO
58%
21%
22%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FCO
0 - 3
ATL
22%
24%
54%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 3
SCO
20%
23%
58%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
INT
8 - 0
PEN
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 2
UES
32%
25%
44%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
FCO
58%
21%
22%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
INT
2 - 0
PEN
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |