Orbe vs Perly-Certoux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
36.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
BAV
3 - 1
FCO
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
FCO
1 - 3
COL
30%
24%
46%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
FCO
0 - 2
TER
20%
22%
58%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SER
3 - 0
FCO
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
FCO
4 - 0
MON
23%
22%
56%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Perly-Certoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
PER
0 - 2
TER
23%
23%
55%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
SER
2 - 0
PER
77%
15%
9%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PER
5 - 0
MON
41%
23%
36%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SIE
2 - 3
PER
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
PER
1 - 2
SBC
33%
24%
43%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |