Orbe vs Lutry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
58.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
USC
3 - 0
FCO
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FCO
3 - 2
BEX
30%
23%
47%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
PER
2 - 1
FCO
77%
14%
8%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FCO
0 - 3
BAV
16%
21%
63%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
COL
3 - 3
FCO
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FCL
2 - 3
TER
28%
24%
49%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SER
1 - 2
FCL
73%
17%
11%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FCL
1 - 1
MON
28%
23%
50%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SIE
2 - 0
FCL
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FCL
2 - 0
SBC
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |