Orbe vs Bex analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
47.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
PER
2 - 1
FCO
77%
14%
8%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FCO
0 - 3
BAV
16%
21%
63%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
COL
3 - 3
FCO
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
TER
4 - 0
FCO
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FCO
1 - 5
SER
13%
20%
67%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Bex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BEX
0 - 2
TER
17%
21%
62%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SER
5 - 0
BEX
79%
14%
8%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
BEX
1 - 2
MON
19%
21%
60%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SIE
6 - 3
BEX
49%
23%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BEX
1 - 1
SBC
26%
23%
51%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |