Premier Playoffs Final
Global 3-2
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
KRS
1 - 1
OLY
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 6
CSK
12%
22%
65%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SOC
6 - 1
OLY
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
OLY
0 - 0
SPA
15%
23%
62%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TER
5 - 1
OLY
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
YAR
1 - 0
ARS
31%
29%
40%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
ARS
1 - 0
AKT
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
FKL
1 - 1
ARS
19%
26%
55%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ARS
1 - 0
NEF
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FKR
1 - 1
ARS
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |