Olimp Comrat vs Real Succes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
5º
2º
4
3º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
15 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
4 | 4 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimp Comrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 1
FCO
51%
22%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FCO
2 - 1
FST
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
GAG
4 - 2
FCO
74%
15%
11%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
FCO
3 - 1
FST
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
REA
1 - 2
FCO
26%
21%
53%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Real Succes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
REA
3 - 0
DIN
15%
16%
68%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
UNG
2 - 1
REA
92%
6%
2%
|
26 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SAX
6 - 0
REA
87%
9%
4%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
REA
1 - 2
GAG
7%
14%
79%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
REA
1 - 2
FCO
26%
21%
53%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |