Oerlikon / Polizei vs Widnau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
37.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oerlikon / Polizei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
MEL
3 - 2
FCO
45%
23%
32%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
FCS
5 - 2
FCO
20%
22%
58%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
FCO
3 - 0
CHU
33%
23%
44%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
LIN
4 - 0
FCO
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
FCO
1 - 1
FRA
63%
19%
18%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Widnau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
WID
2 - 2
CHU
46%
23%
31%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 2
WID
62%
20%
19%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
WID
2 - 0
FRE
33%
22%
45%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
FCP
2 - 3
WID
26%
22%
52%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
WID
4 - 1
FRA
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |