Oerlikon / Polizei vs Luterbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oerlikon / Polizei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
SCH
2 - 3
FCO
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
FCO
1 - 1
FCT
39%
25%
36%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
DUL
0 - 4
FCO
28%
24%
48%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
FCW
0 - 1
FCO
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
FCO
1 - 1
KUS
28%
23%
49%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Luterbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
FCL
2 - 1
FCW
14%
20%
66%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
KUS
1 - 2
FCL
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
FCL
0 - 2
FCW
13%
21%
66%
|
18 | 63 | 45 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
RSZ
3 - 2
FCL
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
FCL
0 - 0
KOS
17%
21%
62%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | +2 |