Nürnberg vs VfR Mannheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.8%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9%
4.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1948 |
FCN
0 - 0
TSA
90%
7%
3%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
SCH
0 - 1
FCN
14%
20%
65%
|
98 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
ULM
0 - 4
FCN
9%
17%
74%
|
98 | 69 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1948 |
FCN
3 - 1
VFM
94%
5%
2%
|
98 | 56 | 42 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1948 |
MUN
2 - 1
FCN
21%
22%
57%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1948 |
FWM
1 - 2
VFR
35%
23%
43%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
VFR
3 - 1
BYM
17%
21%
62%
|
82 | 95 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1948 |
VFR
2 - 3
VFL
61%
18%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
SVS
2 - 0
VFR
83%
10%
7%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
VFR
2 - 3
STU
48%
23%
30%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |