Nürnberg vs VfR Mannheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.7%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.3%
3.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
OFC
0 - 4
FCN
13%
19%
69%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
FCN
6 - 1
FWM
93%
5%
2%
|
98 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
VIK
0 - 4
FCN
11%
17%
72%
|
98 | 70 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
FCN
2 - 0
EIN
83%
10%
7%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
SSD
0 - 2
FCN
11%
17%
72%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1948 |
VFR
3 - 1
FSV
52%
22%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
ULM
1 - 1
VFR
25%
22%
53%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
VFR
3 - 0
SCH
53%
22%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
VIK
0 - 1
VFR
40%
22%
39%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
VFR
2 - 1
OFC
42%
23%
36%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |