Nürnberg vs Hoffenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BYM
2 - 1
FCN
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
FCN
1 - 0
MON
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
STU
0 - 0
FCN
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
FCN
0 - 2
HAN
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
EIN
1 - 1
FCN
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
MON
2 - 4
HOF
37%
27%
37%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
HOF
3 - 0
BOC
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
HAN
0 - 1
HOF
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
HOF
0 - 0
S04
32%
26%
43%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
LEV
1 - 0
HOF
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |