Nürnberg vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
16.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
ROT
0 - 3
FCN
23%
27%
51%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
FCN
2 - 0
TUS
61%
24%
15%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2009 |
SCF
0 - 1
FCN
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
FCN
4 - 0
RWA
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2009 |
MSV
2 - 2
FCN
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
STP
2 - 2
MSV
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
WEH
3 - 1
STP
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
STP
1 - 1
AUG
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
AAA
1 - 3
STP
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
STP
3 - 2
ROS
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |