DFB Pokal Last 16
Global 7-0
Nürnberg vs SC Sperber analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
6.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1969 |
HSV
4 - 2
FCN
57%
24%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1969 |
SCS
0 - 0
FCN
21%
20%
59%
|
82 | 45 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1969 |
MSV
1 - 0
FCN
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1969 |
FCN
1 - 0
EIN
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1969 |
HER
2 - 0
FCN
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SC Sperber
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1969 |
SCS
0 - 0
FCN
21%
20%
59%
|
45 | 82 | 37 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
SCS
0 - 3
LUB
29%
24%
48%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
ISC
3 - 3
SCS
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
SCS
1 - 1
FCP
34%
24%
42%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
HOL
2 - 1
SCS
77%
15%
9%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |