Nürnberg vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
48.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
ARB
2 - 1
FCN
49%
22%
29%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
FCN
1 - 2
SCH
64%
20%
17%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
SSH
2 - 7
FCN
3%
8%
89%
|
82 | 20 | 62 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
FCH
0 - 13
FCN
3%
9%
88%
|
82 | 9 | 73 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
EBT
1 - 4
FCN
34%
26%
40%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
HAN
2 - 3
PAD
34%
25%
41%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
BSV
2 - 2
PAD
23%
22%
55%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
KSC
3 - 0
PAD
39%
24%
37%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
PAD
2 - 1
MAG
48%
23%
28%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
S04
0 - 2
PAD
33%
24%
43%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |