Nürnberg vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
FCN
5 - 1
HAL
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ERZ
1 - 3
FCN
25%
25%
51%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
S04
4 - 1
FCN
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
FCN
2 - 1
HOL
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
FCN
2 - 3
STP
34%
26%
41%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
VER
0 - 2
PAD
15%
19%
66%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 2
HEI
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
PAD
0 - 1
DAR
40%
23%
37%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
SVS
1 - 1
PAD
18%
23%
59%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 1
ROS
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |