Nürnberg vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
WOL
2 - 2
FCN
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
FCN
3 - 0
S04
23%
24%
53%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
AUG
1 - 2
FCN
37%
28%
36%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
FCN
1 - 1
SCF
40%
26%
35%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
STU
1 - 1
FCN
61%
22%
18%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
M05
1 - 1
BRE
39%
24%
38%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
HOF
0 - 0
M05
34%
27%
40%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
M05
1 - 0
LEV
27%
24%
48%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
F95
1 - 1
M05
36%
27%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
M05
2 - 3
SCF
50%
25%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |