Nürnberg vs Karlsruher SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
53.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
6º
14º
10º
52
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
51 | 51 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 35 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
FCN
2 - 1
ING
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
FCN
1 - 0
EBT
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
KOL
3 - 1
FCN
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
ELV
2 - 1
FCN
50%
24%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
FCN
2 - 2
F95
25%
23%
53%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
KSC
1 - 3
SER
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
KSC
1 - 2
STG
45%
23%
33%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
PAD
1 - 2
KSC
43%
23%
34%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
KSC
4 - 2
SSV
67%
20%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
KAI
3 - 1
KSC
37%
23%
40%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |